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Kurd
08-27-2016, 03:10 PM
In order to verify previous qpAdm results for Kurds showing approximately 20% ancestry attributable to EHG, I tried modeling Kurds and Zoroastrians using the following steppe population:

1- Steppe Eneolithic; Approximately 6500 year old Khavlynsk samples, which predated the Yamnaya Samara samples by about 1000 years. They were approximately 75% EHG, and 25% Caucausus;

2- Afanasievo: Approximately 5000 year old samples from Bateni Russia, approximately 1200 kms east of Samara. They were about 50% EHG & 50% Caucauses;

3- Yamnaya Samara: Approximately 5000 year old samples. They were about 50% EHG & 50% Caucauses;

4- Scythian IA: Approximately 2200 year old sample from Nadezhdinka Russia, about 1000 kms east of Samara. This sample shows about 13% E Asian in ADMIXTURE

The same outgroups were used as in the Lazaridis 2016 paper. They are:

Ust_Ishim
Kostenki14
MA1
Papuan
Chukchi
Karitiana
Mbuti.DG
Natufian
Switzerland_HG

I will be posting Kurds from Iraq and Turkey, including a Feyli, and also Zoroastrians;

The tables are sorted with the highest p-value (tail prob) on top. The models all seem to be consistent with the model showing around 20% EHG in Kurds



Kurd C3 Iraq


SAMPLE
SCYTHIAN IA
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C3 Iraq
36.30%
29.30%
34.40%

0.9
98.90%


Standard Errors
8.30%
10.20%
9.20%














SAMPLE
AFANSIEVO
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C3 Iraq
37.00%
28.80%
34.10%

2.1
91.30%


Standard Errors
8.30%
10.10%
8.60%














SAMPLE
YAMNAYA SAMARA
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C3 Iraq
37.70%
35.60%
37.20%

2.2
90.20%


Standard Errors
8.20%
9.50%
9.10%














SAMPLE
STEPPE ENEOLITHIC
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C3 Iraq
27.30%
35.60%
37.10%

1.6
85.20%


Standard Errors
6.70%
9.60%
9.60%

Kurd
08-27-2016, 03:10 PM
Sorted with highest p-value on top



KURD C2 – IRAQ


SAMPLE
STEPPE ENEOLITHIC
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C2 – Iraq
29.60%
35.40%
35.00%

1.13
98.00%


Standard Errors
6.80%
9.70%
9.60%














SAMPLE
SCYTHIAN IA
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C2 – Iraq
38.30%
24.00%
37.60%

1.6
95.00%


Standard Errors
8.30%
9.90%
9.00%














SAMPLE
AFANSIEVO
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C2 – Iraq
37.20%
26.20%
36.60%

4.8
57.60%


Standard Errors
8.30%
9.90%
8.10%














SAMPLE
YAMNAYA SAMARA
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C2 – Iraq
36.80%
32.30%
30.90%

5.8
44.00%


Standard Errors
8.10%
9.40%
8.90%

Kurd
08-27-2016, 03:48 PM
Some excellent fits for all the Iraqi Kurd samples



Kurd C1 – Iraq


SAMPLE
SCYTHIAN IA
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C1 – Iraq
33.60%
34.00%
32.50%

0.4
99.80%


Standard Errors
8.40%
9.90%
9.10%














SAMPLE
YAMNAYA SAMARA
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C1 – Iraq
34.60%
38.00%
27.30%

1.3
97.10%


Standard Errors
8.30%
9.40%
9.00%














SAMPLE
AFANSIEVO
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C1 – Iraq
33.30%
34.50%
32.20%

1.5
95.60%


Standard Errors
8.30%
10.10%
8.50%














SAMPLE
STEPPE ENEOLITHIC
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C1 – Iraq
25.20%
42.70%
32.00%

2.9
82.00%


Standard Errors
7.20%
9.80%
10.10%

Kurd
08-27-2016, 04:13 PM
Kurd F5 – Iraq


SAMPLE
AFANSIEVO
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd F5 – Iraq
39.10%
32.80%
28.00%

4.6
59.00%


Standard Errors
8.30%
10.10%
8.50%














SAMPLE
STEPPE ENEOLITHIC
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd F5 – Iraq
33.20%
48.40%
18.40%

4.9
55.80%


Standard Errors
7.90%
11.30%
11.00%














SAMPLE
YAMNAYA SAMARA
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd F5 – Iraq
38.00%
40.60%
21.40%

6
38.00%


Standard Errors
8.30%
9.40%
9.00%














SAMPLE
SCYTHIAN IA
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd F5 – Iraq
36.90%
38.70%
24.40%

6.4
37.50%


Standard Errors
10.40%
11.90%
9.90%

Kurd
08-27-2016, 04:28 PM
IRAN ZOROASTRIAN


SAMPLE
STEPPE ENEOLITHIC
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Zoroastrian
33.10%
43.30%
23.50%

2.6
85.60%


Standard Errors
4.80%
6.40%
6.50%














SAMPLE
YAMNAYA SAMARA
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Zoroastrian
42.00%
39.50%
18.40%

3.5
74.40%


Standard Errors
4.80%
5.30%
5.00%














SAMPLE
SCYTHIAN IA
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Zoroastrian
40.90%
36.10%
22.90%

3.8
70.40%


Standard Errors
6.10%
6.90%
6.20%














SAMPLE
AFANSIEVO
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Zoroastrian
40.00%
35.70%
24.20%

5.9
43.40%


Standard Errors
8.30%
10.10%
8.50%

Kurd
08-27-2016, 04:38 PM
MFA – KURD (TURKEY)


SAMPLE
SCYTHIAN IA
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


MFA
40.80%
30.30%
28.90%

1.8
93.40%


Standard Errors
8.60%
9.80%
9.30%














SAMPLE
STEPPE ENEOLITHIC
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


MFA
30.60%
42.80%
26.60%

1.9
92.10%


Standard Errors
6.80%
9.70%
9.60%














SAMPLE
YAMNAYA SAMARA
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


MFA
41.70%
33.90%
24.40%

2.7
84.40%


Standard Errors
7.90%
8.60%
8.80%














SAMPLE
AFANSIEVO
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


MFA
40.00%
29.80%
30.20%

2.9
82.60%


Standard Errors
8.30%
9.90%
8.10%

Kurd
08-28-2016, 04:41 PM
Using Andronovo as the steppe proxy



SAMPLE
ANDRONOVO
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C3 – Iraq
42.40%
33.20%
24.30%

1.4
96.30%



Standard Errors
9.30%
9.40%
9.70%








SAMPLE
ANDRONOVO
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C2 – Iraq
41.30%
31.10%
27.60%

6
41.90%


Standard Errors
9.40%
9.70%
9.50%








SAMPLE
ANDRONOVO
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd C1 – Iraq
36.90%
38.90%
24.20%

2.5
87.00%


Standard Errors
9.70%
9.90%
9.80%

Kurd
08-28-2016, 04:54 PM
SAMPLE
ANDRONOVO
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Kurd F5 – Iraq
41.80%
41.20%
17.00%

7
31.90%


Standard Errors

11.00%
11.40%
10.00%








SAMPLE
ANDRONOVO
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


MFA
46.70%
33.50%
19.80%

3.6
73.20%


Standard Errors
9.70%
9.40%
9.40%






Zoroastrians had the worst fit



SAMPLE
ANDRONOVO
IRAN N
ANATOLIA N

CHISQ
TAIL PROBABILITY


Zoroastrian
44.20%
42.20%
13.50%

9.4
15.00%


Standard Errors
7.00%
7.40%
6.50%